Tuesday, July 22, 2008

NERDD Pennant Race Forecast



Down the stretch they come... the DVs and the Drillers. The standings at the moment are:

DVs 70-48
Drillers 62-47 (3.5 games back)

Their remaining opponents:

DVs (44 games left):
10 vs the Zaps and Nads
7 vs the FFTs
5 vs the Warpigs and Tweeners
4 vs the Drillers
3 vs the Fungoes

Drillers (53 games left):
14 vs the Fungoes
10 vs the Rhinos and Oilers
5 vs the Wahoos, Sidewinders, and Mavs
4 vs the DVs

An analysis:
The DVs will go 10-5 vs their remaining cupcakes (FFTs, Fungoes, and Pigs). More than 10 is possible, but the three of us OWN him, and he knows it. Against the borderline/mysterious/middle-of-the-road teams (Nads, Zaps, Tweeners), the DVs will limp home at 15-10. That would put the DVs at 95-63 before his last 4 vs the Drillers Dude.

The Drillers will go 14-5 vs his remaining softies (Fungoes and Mavs) and 7-3 vs the only middle team left on his schedule (Oilers). The Drillers have 20 games vs top tier teams (Wahoos, Snakes, and Rhinos - and that's not counting his 4 with the DVs), but he usually does his best in games like these. He'll go 12-8 in those games, putting him at 95-63 before the showdown with the DVs.

Both teams at 95-63. That would be a sweet final four games. And in case you're wondering (gosh, I know I am), the DVs and Drillers split their first 10 games. Although both teams will make the playoffs with records like that, the division champ will probably get a first round bye.

It's going to be interesting. I'll forecast the Killer Bee Division, I mean the Ab Wheeler Division next.

2 comments:

The Chief said...

Good stuff. Part of the beauty of this site. Good commentary. And the fact that both teams have played close to the same number of games means we can actually follow a pennant race down to the finish.

Anonymous said...

The beauty of the last 4 between the DVs and Drillers will be the fact that since no KOA campground has internet connectivity, the computer manager will rule the day! Ah, the good old days, when pennant races were decided on the whim of computer code and EQA.