The Bob Uecker Division is a 2-team race, and every time the Rhinos appear poised to run away with it, the Wahoos claw their way back in. The current standings:
Rhinos 58-50
Wahoos 54-52 (3 games back)
Their remaining opponents:
Rhinos (54 games left):
14 vs the Oilers
10 vs the Zaps, Drillers, Buckeyes, and Mavs
Wahoos (56 games left):
10 vs the Buckeyes and Mavs
9 vs the Oilers
8 vs the Warpigs
5 vs the Zaps, Drillers, and FFTs
4 vs the Fungoes
An analysis:
Just like in the MLB, these two division opponents have a lot of the same teams left on their schedule. Unfortunately, they don't have any games left against each other. The Rhinos have 20 left vs teams in playoff dogfights of their own (Buckeyes and Drillers). I'm going to say they Rhinos hold their own in these games and go 11-9. In the 24 vs the Zaps and Oilers - two teams hard to get a handle on at this point - the Rhinos will do a bit better, winning 15 and losing 9. The Rhinos may need to do really well against the Mavs to hold off the Wahoos, but I'm only going to give him a 7-3 here. These outcomes would leave the Rhinos at 91-71.
The Wahoos have the advantage of having 27 games left against the bottom four teams in the league (Warpigs, Mavs, Fungoes, and FFTs). The Wahoos should have no trouble letting these teams fight it out for the top draft spot. The Hoos will go 19-8 vs these losers. In the 15 games vs the Drillers and Buckeyes, however, the good pitching they will face will bring them back down to earth. The Wahoos will go 7-8 vs these two teams. That leaves 14 vs the Oilers and Zaps. The Wahoos have enough to do better than .500 here, going 9-5. This would bring the Wahoos home with a record of 89-73, leaving them on the outside looking in at playoff time.
4 comments:
Why did I think the Mavs and Rhinos had already played? Did I dream Jose telling me that?
Somebody had mentioned to me several weeks ago that the Rhinos and Mavs had played. Two weeks ago I asked the Rhinos if he had played the Mavs and not reported it. He said he had and thought he went 6-4. Said he'd check. I never heard back. Never heard from the Mavs at all.
I smell more demerits coming.
So are you double checking that if you say the Wahoos go 7-8 vs. the Drillers and Buckeyes, then the Buckeyes and Drillers will go 8-7 against the Wahoos?????
Reminds me of the '92 NASOMA race and standings where the total of the team records didn't equal .500!
well, these weren't all written at the same time, so there's no reason for them to all match up. the forecasts are fluid. maybe they add up. maybe they don't. who knows? who cares? pull your thumb outta yer boston ass and have some fun. you should have enough on your mind figuring out how the red sox can win with (or without) manram.
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