Showing posts with label #SpoilerAlert. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #SpoilerAlert. Show all posts

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Checkmate

The Sidewinders clinched the 2018 NASOMA title today - a record for the earliest in the calendar year to win the Higdon.

The Snakes, who had wrapped up the 2018 AWD title about three years ago, went ahead and won the Higdon as well, with the clincher being another trade with the Wahoos.

Edwin Encarnacion
Roberto Osuna
David Dahl (on ground)
The Sidewinders sent reserve picks in 2018, 2019, and 2020, a 2nd round pick in 2019, a 1st round pick in 2020, and the rights to injured, uncarded minor leaguer David Dahl to the Wahoos. In return, the Sidewinders received reliever Roberto Osuna, Edwin Encarnacion, and pick 78.

"If I've learned anything," commented the Snakeman, "I've learned that there's always someone willing to give you their best players if you pile up enough shit to give in return. I mean, hell, I didn't give up a single damn thing from this year."

"To be honest," continued the Snakeman, "I was kinda irritated having only 7 of the best 8 relievers in the league. Now I have all of the top 8, which means I will not only win my third straight Higdon, but I can also get the plaque engraved for 2017 and 2018 in one trip. It's really just a time-saver for me."

Congratulations, Sidewinders, on the back-to-back-to-back titles.

Friday, November 03, 2017

2017 Playoff Preview

Well, well, well... it's that time of the year again. The MLB season is over, but neither the cards, the ratings, nor the Wahoo stats are here. So it must be NASOMA playoff time.

This year's lineup features the league's oldest and most iconic team as the #1 seed, a team who has been to 3 straight World Series as seed #2, three teams who have yet to win their first title... and the Fungoes.

The Buckeyes, looking for their 8th Higdon, dominated the field in the regular season. He will have the top seed and the home table advantage. Could this be his chance to win his first title since 2005?

The Sidewinders have been on a roll for 4 years now, and is as experienced and playoff savvy as anybody heading into this post season. Will he coast thru the playoffs like he did last year and claim back-to-back titles?

Or maybe this is the year a new team gets its name etched onto the Higdon. The Inmates have been to the Series twice before, but there was a 19-year gap between them. And since his last appearance was only 4 years ago, it seems too early for him to return. It is, however, the Year of the Inmates. Again.

Or is it the Year of the Wahoos? The Wahoos made the finals once before - in 2000, but more importantly, the Hoos join the Snakes as the only two teams to make the playoffs the last 4 years. Maybe this is the year they finally take the final step.

The Rhinos have also been to a World Series, losing to the DVs (Editor's note: how embarrassing) in 2012. Maybe 2017 is his chance at redemption - especially since before the season started, the Rhinos traded their best hitter and best reliever to the DVs, who somehow managed to miss the playoffs anyway while the Rhinos won 98 games. Is this a sign?

The Fungoes slipped into the #6 seed mainly because the Mavs made the mistake of thinking we had passed the rule that allowed the 7th best team to draft #1. The Fungoes have won the Higdon twice before, however, in both 2006 and 2014, so they are experienced at playoff Strat. And any team that gets to pitch Clayton Kershaw has a chance to win (unless that team is the Dodgers).

Without further ado, here are the much lauded, much anticipated, much re-tweeted Big Innings predictions...

First Round - #4 Wahoos vs #5 Rhinos
SP - Even. Fernandez, Verlander, Arrieta, and Estrada for the Wahoos; Syndergaard, Aaron Sanchez, Cole, and Archer for the Rhinos. Maybe a slight edge to the Hoos, but both rotations are elite.
RP - Wahoos. By a lot. Not that Devenski and company aren't good, but the Wahoos have a pen envied by every NASOMA team west of Lexington.
C/Inf - Rhinos. Barely. Votto, Lemahieu, and Bryant make up for the weak-link Story at ss. The Wahoo group is almost as good offensively, and they're better defensively. So it's close.
OF/DH - Wahoos. Not close. The Rhinos didn't win 98 games because of their outfield of Duvall, Buxton, Myers, Kemp, and Marisnick. They won because of their pitching, their infield, and the attention to detail that becomes necessary when you only draft 289 catcher ABs.

Even though the Rhinos won 7 more games than the Wahoos, they are the lower seed because the Wahoos won their division. Head to head, the Rhinos won 7 of 10. But none of that matters. Last year, the Warpigs were clobbered during the regular season by both the Wahoos and Fungoes, but then beat them in the playoffs. Conversely, the Pigs went 9-1 vs the Sidewinders only to get rung up in 5 games against them in the Series.

The Rhinos will get confused when, for the first time this year, they will not be forced to pinch hit for the catcher every time he comes up. That confusion - along with the Wahoo relievers and the frustration that comes with NEVER getting a break on an x-chance against the All-One Wahoos - will lead to a Wahoo victory.

First Round - #3 Inmates vs #6 Fungoes
SP - Even. Except when Kershaw is pitching. Really, neither team has a SP (other than Kershaw) who would even make the playoff rosters of the Wahoos or Rhinos.
RP - Even. In an unimaginative, tedious manner. Neither team has an impressive bullpen - or even a shut down stopper. On the other hand, both have useful hurlers who can probably get some outs.
C/Inf - Inmates. Slightly. Rizzo and Altuve win out over Lindor and Murphy, but not by much. Offensively, the Fungoes have a slight edge because of Murphy, but playing Murphy and Carpenter in the field will hurt them at some point. Both teams have great arms behind the plate.
OF/DH - Fungoes. Slightly. Trout and Betts tilt this area to the Fungoes, but the Inmates have CarGo, JD, Cespedes, and Adam Jones. Not too shabby.

Another interesting first round match-up, this one between HWD division rivals. The Inmates went 8-6 against the Fungoes and finished 8 games ahead in the standings. The Fungoes lean heavily on Kershaw and Price, but the Inmates hit LHP well. The Inmates have so-so pitching, but the Fungoes have so-so hitting. Defensively, any ball hit on the ground causes Fungo fans to hold their collective breath while praying that Lindor dashes in front of the other guys to take it. The Fungo scorecard lists Lindor as "Infield Rover."

If this were a 2nd round series complete with days off after games 2 & 5, I'd give the nod to the team that would get to start Kershaw 3 times. But with no off days, the tall Texan can only start twice. Now, the Fungoes could use him out of the pen so he could pitch every game. This might be the only hope the Fungoes have, but one that is destined to backfire. Limited to 3 innings in each game leaves the Fungoes relying on the rest of a lackluster staff for two thirds of every game. Neither of these teams is better than the two teams in the other first round series, but the Inmates will be running the prison and will be victorious in round one.

Second Round - #1 Buckeyes vs #4 Wahoos
The Buckeyes vs the Wahoos lacks the glamour and tension that a Buckeye/Inmate series would offer. And for the Buckeyes, a series vs the Inmates would be preferable. The Buckeyes have been and always will be in the Head Inmate's head. And the Buckeye bats would devour the Inmate pitching staff. BUT... the series is between the Buckeyes and the Wahoos, and while homers will definitely be flying out of both parks, the Buckeyes can't match the Wahoo pitching. Every game will end 14-12, but the Wahoos will come out on top, advancing to only their 2nd World Series ever.

Second Round - #2 Sidewinders vs #3 Inmates
The Snakes vs the Inmates will have a similar result for a similar reason. The Snake pitching is light years ahead of the Inmate pitching, and the Impotentmates, who can and will score in bunches, won't do it often enough to overcome the mighty Sidewinder machine. The Snakes will join the Buckeyes and Warpigs as the only NASOMA teams to make it 4 straight World Series.

World Series - #2 Sidewinders vs #4 Wahoos
I'd really like to pick the Wahoos, and thereby put extra pressure on him... and the Sidewinders will be fresher, having played fewer games going in. (Editor's note: Scratch that. The Wahoos are young and spry; the Sidewinders are old and fat. The extra games theory is compromised. Looking back, I can't believe I typed the words "the Sidewinders will be fresher.' The Sidewinders are never fresher.) Both teams have the best bullpens in NASOMA by a wide margin. And, along with the Rhinos and Skyscrapers, the best rotations. When you consider the damn Wahoo defense, it's hard not to pick the Wahoos. But the difference... the deciding factor... the key to the series will be a player no longer active in the game. No, I'm not talking about Weekend at Bernie's... I'm referring to Big Papi. Write this down: In his last ever Strat appearance, Ortiz with a game 7 walk-off homer. Sidewinders repeat.

Tuesday, June 06, 2017

Wanna See The Final Standings Early? (Spoiler: The Buckeyes Get Seed #1)

Using a mathematical formula based on records and who each team has left to play, here are the final win totals for each team. Due to rounding, it comes up about 4 wins short of exact, but it is completely and totally accurate. Clip and save.

1. Buckeyes, 108 wins (I didn't know how to factor the "Buckeye Effect" into my formula, so it may be higher. This is probably where those 4 missing wins will end up.)
2. Inmates, 101 wins (There are 5 teams who have separated themselves from the pack in the race for the first pick in the Draft. The Inmates have a league-high 54 games left against those 5 teams. By the way, this method of saving the crap for last is the opposite of the Buckeye method - play the crap early and discourage everyone from challenging. It is, instead, a copycat of the Wahoo method.)
3. Sidewinders, 98 wins (The #3 seed. Again. He's got you guys right where he wants you.)
4. Wahoos, 94 wins (Seed #4. This would be the "Year of the Wahoos" except it's the "Year of the Inmates." Plus, last year was the "Year of the Wahoos.")
5. Rhinos, 98 wins (Third best record in the league gets the Rhinos a Wild Card spot and a first round loss to the Wahoos.)
6. Fungoes, 97 wins (99 wins if you count the 2 wins Kershaw will get against the Snakes in the 6-game, first round loss.)

7. FFTs, 88 wins ("We finished ahead of the DVs. That's good enough for me.")
8. DVs, 86 wins ("We finished ahead of the Warpigs. That's good enough for me.")
9. Mavs, 83 wins (Above .500, but not the juggernaut of 2016. "Being the #1 seed and losing sucked. This is better.")
10. Skyscrapers, 81 wins (Will be better next year if for no other reason than he'll go into the Draft knowing this is a DH league.)
11. Drillers, 80 wins (At some point in July or August, DD will realize it's time to start tanking, but the 5 teams behind him are so bad it won't matter. The Drillers will pick 6th in the 2018 Draft, but they're loaded for next year, and you know what that means: Drillers picking 7th in 2019.

12. Warpigs, 59 wins ("How the hell do we lose 103 and STILL only pick 5th?!?")
13. Tweeners, 56 wins ("How the hell do we lose 106 and STILL only pick 4th?!?")
14. Goofs, 55 wins ("We lost 107 games? Wait, we played 107 games?")
15-16. Nads and Bees, 54 wins (The Nad/Bee series later this summer will be very important. Whose team sucks more? The Bees nabbed Benintendi with the #1 pick this year. 20 more years like that, and the Bees will be good again.)

Monday, January 16, 2017

The First Mock Draft of the Season!

If for no other reason than to get the taste of this fucking football season out of my mouth, here's the first Mock Draft of the season. Keep in mind I have taken only a cursory glance at the ratings guide, and as of now, have only a casual understanding of what each team might need.

So let's dive in...

1. Mansfield Buckeyes - Gary Sanchez, c - The Buckeyes surprised everyone by taking Nomar Mazara with the first pick last year. And while Mazara is a decent young player, the Buckeyes probably wish they could have a do-over. That's not the case this time as Sanchez is a no-brainer, and will lead the Buckeyes back to the playoffs. If nothing else, it will finally give the Buckeyes a reason to try to win games.

2. Nashville Killer Bees - Andrew Benintendi, of - Despite what you might have read in a previous post, the Bees have put together a promising young nucleus, and Benintendi will fit right in. The Bees won't extend their season in 2017, but they'll be back in 2018 to wreak havoc in the AWD. Now if his guys can just stay off of boats.

3. Oklahoma Drillers - David Dahl, of - A fine young left-handed bat who gets to ply his wares in Coors Field. In other words, the perfect Driller in their quest to remain the most talented team not in the playoffs.

4. Stanley Sidewinders - Sandy Leon, c - This was a toughie, and a definite trek out onto the limb. But the Snakes are in good shape everywhere except catcher... Leon will have a great card... he's a -3... Sounds like the guy the Sidewinders want behind the plate as they make a bid to defend their title.

5. Disney SuperGoofs - Alex Bregman, 3b - Bregman is gonna be the next big thing. He slides to the Goofs because two of the teams ahead of him are looking for cards, and the other two are already loaded at 3b. On the other hand, Carlos Beltran is available... and that certainly sounds more like a Goof pick.

6. Chicago Nads - Aledmys Diaz, ss - Erick Aybar sucks, and fittingly, Diaz comes along at the right time to take his place at the BallSac.

7. Tulsa DVs - Michael Fulmer, sp - The DVs need pitching, and Fulmer is a bright young prospect who also has lots of innings on a pretty good card. He might be the first pitcher taken, but he should at least be the first SP.

8. Logan County Tweeners - Chris Devenski, sp/rp - Devenski doesn't have as many innings as Fulmer, but his card will be better and he can pitch in relief.

9. Waco Inmates - Dan Straily - The Inmates had penciled in Fulmer, but after pick 7 had to angrily scratch it out and replace it with Devenski. But then at pick 8... oh, nevermind. You get it. By the way, this assures Straily will be on the DL by the end of April.

10. Belldale Rhinos - Victor Robles, of/uncarded - The Rhino lineup is primed to climb to the top of the HWD. He even has stellar starting pitching. He just needs bullpen. So, of course, he takes an uncarded outfielder in the Nationals' organization. It all fits in his plan to return to the World Series by 2025.

11. Tulsa DVs - Seung Hwan Oh, rp - The Draft order is set up perfectly for the DVs. He had his choice of SPs at pick 7, and now he has his pick of relievers at pick 11. Oh is the guy. The DVs have already queued up the Beatles' song, "Oh! Darling" to be played as Oh comes in for the save.

12. New York Skyscrapers - Edwin Diaz, rp - Disappointed that all the stud first-year cards are already on teams, the new guy does the smart thing and drafts for need. The Skyscrapers will give the Buckeyes, Mavs, and Drillers trouble in the MFD.

13. Tulsa DVs - Tyler Thornburg, rp - The DVs with another pick... the DVs with another pitcher. As for Thornburg being the guy... I have no idea. Maybe it's Kyle Barraclough. Maybe Nate Jones. Maybe someone else. Whichever one has the best looking card will join the DV bullpen and help them finish a strong 2nd behind the Wahoos in the BUD.

14. Midlothian Mavs - Matt Bush, rp - When in doubt, take the Ranger. And I'm in doubt. I ran out of ideas after about 11 picks (and that includes having the Rhinos take an uncarded player). Hey, maybe the Mavs see something in Jurickson Profar.

15. South Grand Prairie Wahoos - Tyler Naquin, of/dh - Naquin would fit in nicely on this team. He sucks in the outfield, but he can hit. And the Wahoos already have all the pitching they will need to run away with the BUD before exiting the playoffs in the 2nd round. (That's right, I'm awarding him a 1st round bye.)

16. Tulsa DVs - Jonathan Villar, inf - A fourth 1st round pick? Is that even legal?

Well there you have it. Next up, I'll take a look at the division races. (Spoiler alert: The Warpigs will NOT win the BUD.) Analyzing the divisions will give me a better idea of the needs for each team and make the next Mock Draft better. I hope.

Wednesday, December 07, 2016

3 Days of Sweet Sneak Peek Tweets from SOM

Strat tweeted out some sneak peek defensive ratings over the last three days. They are listed below. A complete list of defensive rating will be released next week.

Daniel Murphy, 2b/1b/3b-4
BCrawford, ss-1
RSchimpf, 3b-3, 2b/lf-4
Aledmys Diaz,  ss-3, 2b-4
McCutchen, cf-3(!)
Galvis, ss-1
Asdrubal, ss-3
Villar, ss/3b/2b-3,
Yelich, lf-1, cf-2
J.Turner, 3b-2, 1b-4
Story, ss-3
Votto, 1b-3(!)
J.Baez, 2b-1, ss/3b-2, 1b-4
Markakis, rf-2, 1b-4
Goldschmidt, 1b-1
Encarnacion, 1b-3
Odor, 2b-4(!)
Forsythe, 2b-2
Nellie Cruz, rf-5(!)
K.Davis, lf-3
Gregorius, ss-1
Buxton, cf-2
A.Simmons, ss-1
Orlando, rf/cf-2
Gattis, c-4(-2)
Miggy, 1b-3, 3b-5
Lindor, ss-1
Tim Anderson, ss-3
Xander, ss-3
C.Davis, 1b-1
Adam Jones, cf-2
Pedroia, 2b-1
Eaton, rf-1, lf-3, cf-4
Kipnis, 2b-2
JD Martinez, rf-4
CCorrea, ss-2
Hosmer, 1b-2
Trout, cf-1
Healy, 3b-3
Kepler, rf-2, cf-3, 1b-4
SCastro, 2b/ss-3
KMarte, ss-4
Longoria, 3b-2
Moreland, 1b-1
Donaldson, 3b-2
Lamb, 3b-4
Swanson, ss-2
Fowler, cf-3
Duvall, lf-2, rf/3b/1b-4
Blackmon, cf-3
CSeager, ss-3
DGordon, 2b-2
Gennett, 2b-3
Cespedes, lf-2, cf-4
Cesar Hernandez, 2b-3, ss-4
JHarrison, 2b-2, rf-4
YMolina, c-2(-3), 1b-4
HRenfroe, rf-3
MMargot, cf/rf-2
Panik, 2b-1
TTurner, cf-3, ss/2b-4
Segura, 2b-1, ss-3
Zobrist, 2b-3, lf/rf -3(0), ss-4
KBryant, 3b-3, lf-3(-1), rf/1b-4, ss-5
Betts, rf-1(-3)
WMyers, 1b-2, rf-3, lf-4, 3b-5
Semien, ss-3
Desmond, cf/lf-3(-3)
Altuve, 2b-2, ss-4
Dozier, 2b-2
Gary Sanchez, c-3(-3)